
Year End Letter
Three years ago, we had a dream of building a best in class investment management and wealth advisory firm.
Three years ago, we had a dream of building a best in class investment management and wealth advisory firm.
Monetary easing this year from the Fed, Emerging Markets and fiscal stimulus from EM Asia in particular, has arrested the trade-induced slide in global growth. The recent Q4’19 rally in the SPX started when global manufacturing PMI began forming a base.
We think the biggest driver next year will be above-trend global growth. Monetary easing from the Fed and EM, plus fiscal stimulus from EM Asia has already improved the leading-edge indicators (manufacturing PMIs) of global growth.
Light attendance, low volume and an absence of incremental catalysts keeps the prevailing trend in place until something big enough comes along to challenge the current narrative.