
Inside Markets — Clearing Event?
US economic sentiment continues to deteriorate faster than the hard data.
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US economic sentiment continues to deteriorate faster than the hard data.
Last week, the SPX rebounded from the 5500-5560 support layer that contains the 52-week Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) for the
Today’s relief rally from deeply oversold levels follows some positive policy developments.
Downbeat consumer surveys and recent market moves have led to increased recession fears.
Over the last two years, Truflation, a private company that provides real time/high frequency inflation data, has generated inflation forecasts
The sell-off in US equities entered its third week yesterday with the Mag 7 index closing in bear market territory,
The SPX is trading below its 200-day average, which tends to trigger more CTA selling.
Eurozone equity markets have outperformed US equity markets lately with the Euro Stoxx 50 up +12.52% YTD while the SPX
The SPX tested levels below 5772 support (January 13 low) earlier this morning but is now higher.
Equity market internals reflect rising expectations for an economic slowdown/recession, but credit spreads remain below the recent peak in October.
There have been 16 momentum factor unwinds greater than -8% since 2008 with an average peak-to-trough decline of -12%.