
Inside Markets — Near-Term Risk/Reward
The tactically bullish outlook stays intact as long as macro data remains resilient, earnings growth is positive and trade rhetoric improves.
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The tactically bullish outlook stays intact as long as macro data remains resilient, earnings growth is positive and trade rhetoric improves.
We’ll see the first of the Mag 7 reports this afternoon with GOOGL and TSLA due after the close.
The crowded positioning we see in high beta and momentum factors has largely been driven by retail investor flows.
The near-term technical backdrop remains favorable given lower implied volatility, ongoing systematic demand and a reopening corporate buyback window.
Q2 earnings season is off to a strong start, particularly for airlines and banks that see solid growth after a
Our tactically bullish fundamental outlook requires economic resilience, earnings growth and improved trade rhetoric.
The pullback in bank stocks and poor market internals (SPX -1.4% yesterday) are near-term dynamics caused by the repricing of
: Large cap diversified banks always kick off earnings season, and the market reaction to good/bad results often sets the
In our opinion, the catalyst for the momentum factor unwind over the last two weeks is de-risking into CPI and
For now, trade/tariff concerns only look like the supply of pessimism that bull markets use as fuel.
This week’s equity rally started with narrow leadership that broadened out as incrementally dovish Fed messaging moved through markets.